THE JOBS REPORT HAS A SECOND DRAFT
June 2025 employment change: first +147,000; third −13,000; Mar 6, 2026 vintage −20,000 jobs.
The estimated monthly change switched sign between the first and named dated estimate. This alone does not establish a recession or a cause.
| Estimate | Publication date | Monthly change (jobs) |
|---|---|---|
| First estimate | Jul 3, 2025 | +147,000 |
| Third estimate | Sep 5, 2025 | −13,000 |
| Mar 6, 2026 vintage | Mar 6, 2026 | −20,000 |
Monthly revisions incorporate more responses, corrections and seasonal adjustment. Annual benchmarking can change earlier months too. These bars describe the difference between published estimates; they do not isolate its causes.
Source: BLS CES, distributed by ALFRED. Source levels are in thousands; each monthly change subtracts the preceding month in the same vintage, then multiplies by 1,000.
ALFRED dated CSVs substitute for the inaccessible BLS workbook. Independent BLS release-table checks are supplied; workbook-cell admission remains pending.
Edition 2026-03-06-2025-06-v1 · ces-2024-2025-3c54450c09ec-v1. Reconstructed from dated exports, not a claim that this article existed on the release date. Export status: conditional; human editorial approval is unrecorded. SVG may be removed by email clients; this text and table stand alone.