The revision desk · A guide to reading the numbers
The first jobs estimate arrives while employers are still reporting. Later releases fill in the picture—and sometimes turn a month of apparent growth into a month of losses.
U.S. nonfarm payrolls · January 2024–December 2025
Historical estimates, compared with the March 6, 2026 vintage
On July 3, 2025, the first estimate for June showed147,000 added jobs. By the third estimate, published September 5, the figure was a 13,000 decline. A later release, on March 6, 2026, put the decline at 20,000.
All three describe the same month. A reader following only the first headline would remember June as a month of job growth. By September, the estimate showed a loss.
Waiting for every employer to report would leave us with a clearer picture of an older economy. The first estimate offers an early reading. Later responses, corrections and seasonal adjustments improve it. To compare jobs numbers fairly, we need to know when each was published.
BLS also makes an annual revision using more comprehensive employment records, mainly unemployment-insurance tax records. That update and revised seasonal adjustments can change earlier months. The chart combines these changes; it does not separate their causes. Read how BLS revises the estimates.
June is worth noticing. So is the month after it. July 2025 began at 73,000 added jobs and reached 72,000 at the third estimate: a difference of just 1,000. The March 6 vintage puts it at 64,000. All three retain the same estimated direction.
Revisions can also move upward. March 2024 went from 303,000 added jobs to 310,000 at the third estimate. By March 6, 2026, it was down to 228,000. A small early revision can be followed by a much larger annual update. Compare the BLS first and third estimates.
Twenty-four months, kept in view
Each row is one reference month. Blue dots mark the first estimate; red dots mark the March 6, 2026 vintage. More distance means a larger revision. Both panels use the same scale.
| Reference month | First | Third | Later |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 2024 | +353,000Feb 2, 2024 | +256,000Apr 5, 2024 | +175,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| February 2024 | +275,000Mar 8, 2024 | +236,000May 3, 2024 | +206,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| March 2024 | +303,000Apr 5, 2024 | +310,000Jun 7, 2024 | +228,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| April 2024 | +175,000May 3, 2024 | +108,000Jul 5, 2024 | +64,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| May 2024 | +272,000Jun 7, 2024 | +216,000Aug 2, 2024 | +78,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| June 2024 | +206,000Jul 5, 2024 | +118,000Sep 6, 2024 | +87,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| July 2024 | +114,000Aug 2, 2024 | +144,000Oct 4, 2024 | +53,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| August 2024 | +142,000Sep 6, 2024 | +78,000Nov 1, 2024 | +9,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| September 2024 | +254,000Oct 4, 2024 | +255,000Dec 6, 2024 | +155,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| October 2024 | +12,000Nov 1, 2024 | +43,000Jan 10, 2025 | +33,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| November 2024 | +227,000Dec 6, 2024 | +261,000Feb 7, 2025 | +134,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| December 2024 | +256,000Jan 10, 2025 | +323,000Mar 7, 2025 | +237,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| January 2025 | +143,000Feb 7, 2025 | +111,000Apr 4, 2025 | −48,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| February 2025 | +151,000Mar 7, 2025 | +102,000May 2, 2025 | +42,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| March 2025 | +228,000Apr 4, 2025 | +120,000Jun 6, 2025 | +67,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| April 2025 | +177,000May 2, 2025 | +158,000Jul 3, 2025 | +108,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| May 2025 | +139,000Jun 6, 2025 | +19,000Aug 1, 2025 | +13,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| June 2025 | +147,000Jul 3, 2025 | −13,000Sep 5, 2025 | −20,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| July 2025 | +73,000Aug 1, 2025 | +72,000Nov 20, 2025 | +64,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| August 2025 | +22,000Sep 5, 2025 | −26,000Dec 16, 2025 | −70,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| September 2025 | +119,000Nov 20, 2025 | +108,000Dec 16, 2025 | +76,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| October 2025 | UnavailableNo first estimate | −173,000Jan 9, 2026 | −140,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| November 2025 | +64,000Dec 16, 2025 | +41,000Feb 11, 2026 | +41,000Mar 6, 2026 |
| December 2025 | +50,000Jan 9, 2026 | −17,000Mar 6, 2026 | −17,000Mar 6, 2026 |
October 2025 has no blue dot because the lapse in federal appropriations disrupted publication. Its data first appeared in the December 16 release. BLS labels that estimate second preliminary, so there is no first estimate to plot here.
The interruption also delayed August’s third estimate until December 16. The dates in this article follow the actual releases, including that delay. See the release archive and the December 16 explanation.
The January 9, 2026 vintage showed 584,000 jobs added during 2025. The February 11 benchmark release lowered that to 181,000. After the next release revised December again, the March 6 vintage showed 116,000.
Each annual total compares December with the previous December using figures from a single release. Adding twelve first estimates would mix figures published at different stages of revision. The benchmark release and March 6 release show how the annual total changed.
Read the first estimate to learn what is happening now, and check later releases to see how that account holds up. Keep the publication date with the number: it tells the next reader which version of the month you mean.